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November 2022
Dear Readers,
Our November edition of GED Monthly kicks off with the US midterm elections, featuring articles on both pre-election expectations and post-election analysis. We are also pleased to offer an event report of the inaugural Future’s Forum, attended by Foreign Secretaries Blinken and Baerbock, which examined the interplay of democracy and technology, and which we had the pleasure of jointly organizing.
With football underway, we look at the controversies surrounding Qatar and then turn to the state of play in the UK, where new Prime Minister Rishi Sunak will have to stabilize the economy before approaching the daunting task of improving relations with the EU. Speaking of long-term challenges, we also offer insights on the COP27 conference in Egypt, focussing in particular on the role of the EU.
With warm wishes,
Stephan Vopel and Malte Zabel
Director and Co-Director
Europe’s Future Program
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U.S. Midterms (1): A Vote for Democracy
The Republican “red wave” in the midterm elections in the United States failed to materialize. America’s youngest and newest voters whose turnout looks to be historic, and its minorities – women, African-Americans and Latinos – still threw their support behind Democratic candidates over Republicans. Their goal: the defense of democracy itself. We examine the results as we know them to date, arguing that the “democracy” argument seems to have been a key issue that drove voters to the polls.
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U.S. Midterms (2): Defying History?
The midterm elections on Nov. 8th will be a pivotal moment for the Biden administration and U.S. politics. The outcome will also have significant implications for transatlantic relations and the global economy. If Republicans win just one of the two chambers of Congress − the House of Representatives or the Senate − they would gain de facto veto power that allows them to block the Democrat’s legislative agenda. Here we analyse the state of play ahead of the elections.
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U.S.-German Futures Forum: Event Report
The inaugural U.S.-German Futures Forum, featuring Foreign Ministers Blinken and Baerbock, was organized by the Bertelsmann Stiftung in cooperation with the German Federal Foreign Office, the US Department of State and the American Institute for Contemporary German Studies. Themed "The Future of Democracy in a Digital World" it saw civil society participants examine the interplay between democracy and technology. Here we recapitulate the events of an exciting day.
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FIFA 2022 in Qatar: No Carefree Football Festival
Controversial from kick-off to the final whistle: The 22nd World Cup will take place from the 20th of November to the 18th of December in the desert emirate of Qatar. The Qataris have invested over 200 billion euros in the mega-event, and European companies have made good money. We examine the political and economic irritants that have beset this event ever since Qatar was selected for the role of host.
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EU-UK: Change Would Benefit Both Sides
Rishi Sunak’s November budget will reveal the priorities of a leader whose deeper beliefs and long-term strategic vision are relatively unknown even at home. Yet while a rapprochement with the EU would be conducive both to Europe’s role in global affairs and the UK’s urgent economic growth priorities, the political agenda in the UK dictates more pressing matters for now. We take a look at the UK‘s economic predicament before turning to some the obstacles that are in the way of improved relations with the EU.
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COP27 in Egypt – The Role of the EU
Egypt, the geostrategic hotspot at the crossroads of Africa and Asia, hosted the 27th UN Climate Change Conference (COP). Delegates from more than 190 countries met in the resort and conference destination of Sharm El-Sheikh from November 6 to 18. Since the 26th Climate Change Conference in Glasgow in 2021, the global environment for ecological transformation has become even more difficult. Nevertheless, the EU should expand its efforts to combat climate change.
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The Future of EU Cohesion: Event Recording
The green and digital transition will change Europe’s economy. The effects of this transformation will contribute to widening the prosperity gaps between European regions, impacting EU cohesion. Bertelsmann Stiftung presented a new study during the European Week of Regions and Cities last month that estimates the concrete effects of the twin transition on EU Regions. View the launch event here.
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Digital Transition: Gender Equality in Europe
October’s European Gender Equality Week aims to train the spotlight on the numerous unresolved issues for gender equality, such as employment, promotion opportunities and pay. However, these issues differ in seriousness by region. Some regions are closer to gender equality than others. This affects cohesion across European regions. We analyze the economic costs of gender inequality and set out ideas on how to improve.
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In the next edition
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This year’s final edition of GED Monthly will contain more analysis on the future of EU regions in the twin transition, insights on transatlantic relations as well as a presentation of Bertelsmann’s 2022 Sustainable Governance Index (SGI).
To keep abreast of our work, please keep an eye on our blog: globaleurope.eu
Or follow us on social media: http://twitter.com/GED_Tweet
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